Horse Racing Favourites Statistics


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Horse Racing Favourites Statistics

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Horse Racing Favourites Statistics THIS ARTICLE IS LEVEL Video

Predicting Horse Race Winners Using Advanced Statistical Methods

Horse Racing Favourites Statistics

Horse Racing Favourites Statistics Ihr Account Horse Racing Favourites Statistics dem Guthaben aufgeladen wird. - The Buffer Horse Profile

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Some of these factors can include the following -. Although a commonly sourced set of statistics, it is worth recognising the actual odds of the favourites for certain types of races are generally shorter than others.

Therefore although a commonly spoken statistic of favourites going well in certain circumstances may to an extent be true, it does not actually mean anything worthwhile from a betting perspective.

The key to finding favourites who are consistently worth either backing or taking on is to identify a like-for-like scenario where you can clearly spot, justify and explain the reasoning behind your support or laying of this particular favourite type with solid statistical evidence over a reasonable period of time.

There are several good systems exploiting these situations but they are often short-lived due to the popularity of favourites and the fact bookmakers are always second-guessing punters.

There is a section focusing on favourites in the dedicated directory of horse racing statistics , here you will find numerous facts and figures in relation to the favourite in various tests.

With the Favourites setting, you can specify favouritism status of the horse. Place a smaller qualifying fixed odds single bet and get different amounts of free bets.

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Geographical Restrictions. New players only. This week — what would happen if I backed all the favourites i. Just so you know, our database stretches all the way back to so we have some pretty decent figures to work on, but what exactly did we find?

If you have a question based on past records and performances, why not let us know and we will try our best to answer in detail for you — here to help as always?

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Penry Downey. August 31, Related Articles. Second favs struck 19 per cent winners and lost 8 per cent, third favs won 18 per cent and had a profit of 5 per cent, fourth favs had an 11 per cent strike rate and a 13 per cent loss on turnover, fifth favs had an 11 per cent strike rate and won 12 per cent on turnover, while sixth favs?

While the fifth favourite was profitable once again, the third favourite now became profitable. So what if I only bet on country or non-metropolitan tracks?

The total number of races then, was with runners and these showed that first favs lost 22 per cent on turnover, second favs lost 12 per cent, third favs lost 7 per cent, fourth favs lost 15 per cent, fifth favs won 1 per cent and sixth favs lost 22 per cent.

The final summing up shows that first, second and sixth favourites have never been profitable. The fifth favourite was the only one that was profitable under all circumstances.

Its best performance was in races with 10, 11 or 12 runners. That covers betting to win. What about betting for a place? Well, I hate to be the bearer of bad tidings but place betting was not profitable for any one of the favourites in any one of the angles.

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The daug Queensland's latest sprint discovery Burdekin Blues could be a surprise starter in Sydney ahead of his Group One Newmarket Handicap mission at Flem The Darren Weir-trained Time Matters showed the benefit of being taken to the beach at Warrnambool between runs when he easily won the Barton Stake Well-bred filly Typhoon Tracy earned a glowing report from top jockey Glen Boss when she increased her breeding value in leading all-the-way for he Sydney's two metropolitan horse racing clubs may merge in response to the global economic downturn, industry chiefs say.

NSW Gaming and Racing Minis Juvenile Alright Already surprised Gary Portelli with his debut victory but the trainer believes it will be no shock to see the colt defeat the muc Australian champion Weekend Hussler and star sprinter Apache Cat as expected spearhead a classy list of 17 nominations for Saturday's Group One Lig With a full, competitive field of stakes runners, this was just the type of situation where you would hate to be right about one of your top choices marked as A, B runners but miss the trifecta because you tossed the favorite.

Hymn Book A and Trickmeister B were both square prices at and , respectively. My C and D horses were Mission Impazible and Flat Out. In this race I honestly felt any of the 11 runners could run third.

The approach with this type of race is to key around your top choices, and play a partwheel similar to the one presented below:. The trifecta is calculated as follows: 2 horses x 3 horses four minus one x remaining horses, which in this case is 9 11 minus two.

The idea behind the second ticket would be a form of protection in the event a longshot — or, even the favorite — got up for the Place spot.

Even if Shackleford had finished in the money, the trifecta still would have been a nice payoff because of the competitive nature of the field.

Imagine if my top two choices, Hymn Book and Trickmeister, had run one-two and Shackleford had ruined my trifecta? If I absolutely hated the favorite and completely tossed him from the wager, that would be a different story.

Shackleford was the deserving [lukewarm] favorite in this field. Click here to learn about earning real cash back with every wager. Enter promo code AGOS for added rebates and signup bonus.

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In particular the Ratings Range section shows that favourites that are red rated hit a strike rate rate of 28% and return a 12% loss, favourites that are green rated hit 33% and have a 7% loss, whilst blue rated favourites hit 44% and return a slight loss of 2% at SP. The first favourites won 66, second favourites 56, third favs 32, fourth favs 34, fifth favs 30 and sixth favs These are strike rates of 25 per cent, 21 per cent, 12 . Contrary to popular belief favourites only actually win about 32% of all races, but naturally they are at different prices which causes the issues – sometimes a 4/9 shot could be seen as value (depending on the opposition) perhaps in a maiden or a horse outclassing the others in a seller, whereas a 7/1 joint favourite may be a disastrous price (Grand National, for example), so we all need to pick and choose, . Historically, the betting choice, a.k.a. the favorite, has hit the Winner’s Circle at tracks all over the country at a fairly consistent 32% success rate. However, over the past decade or so I noticed that this rate of how horse racing favorites perform continued to creep up. Second favourites won races, third , fourth 70, fifth 65 and sixth favourites won These are strike rates of 26 per cent, 19 per cent, 16 per cent, 11 per cent, 10 per cent and 5 per cent. Interestingly, favourites had an average dividend of $ (about 7/4) but showed a dramatic 25 per cent loss on turnover. More Favourites Stats. Favourite Stats Analysis Page - Analyse favourite stats for any type of race, on any going, in any field size Ratings: Best Value Favourites - View the best value favourites that are determined using the FlatStats horse racing ratings. Stats Glossary. Horse Racing Favourite Statistics. There is a section focusing on favourites in the dedicated directory of horse racing statistics, here you will find numerous facts and figures in relation to the favourite in various tests. At the point of taking this snapshot on the 17/11/ at pm, the table shows the following horse racing winning odds statistics. When a horse is favourite and positioned 1st at the meter mark in a Country race historically it has gone on to Win per cent of the time.
Horse Racing Favourites Statistics They say that statistics can be made to prove anything. The fifth favourite was the only one that was profitable under all circumstances. Weekend Dragon4d Slot, the w Learn more about horse racing. Trainer Li There are several good systems exploiting these situations but they are often short-lived due to the popularity of favourites and the fact bookmakers are always second-guessing punters. The trifecta is calculated as follows: 2 horses x 3 horses four minus one x remaining horses, which in this case is 9 11 minus two. Historically, the betting choice, a. It's always an absorbing talking point in racing to discuss 'where' the winners Jürgen Zopp from in a race. The Gilded Time gelding had won six Collateral form does not justify favouritism The horse has ran too many times or risen too Supperlenny in the weights and has peaked Despite boasting excellent form the favourite has not shown enough under todays conditions Hype - when its all down to talk and Aktuelle Paypal Störung, can you trust where its coming from? Mahajong wife to watch and bet BC this weekend simulcast outlet and would like to make it enjoyable aka winning. Peters sets star for All-Star Scratch Football.

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